Wednesday, April 1, 2020

COVID 19 IN MALAYSIA -SOME SUCCESS SINCE THE MOVEMENT CONTROL ORDER ON 18TH MARCH 2020


Malaysia has seen some success since the Movement Control Order (MCO)
since18th March 2020; despite the recalcitrance of some residents to come
forward and be tested after attending a religious gathering for whatever reason.

Just to explain the graph I created for a simpler presentation that most people
can understand - I use the Daily Increase(DI) in the number of cases identified
and the Daily Moving Average(DMA).

The DI had a spike after the MCO was imposed; caused by the mass exodus
during the 24-hour period before the deadline.
Thankfully, things look under control now and the trend has been trending
down in the past few days - about 6%.

Strict measures have been imposed in a few areas with zero movement
outside of homes and residents have been targeted for medical screening.

There has been talk to allow the Ramadan bazaar, where small business folks
are allowed to set up stalls for the public to buy food.
This has alarmed the public as many feel that usual crowds during such
bazaars will undo the great work that has been done by the front-liners
- the Doctors, the Nurses and other Healthcare staff; plus the Enforcers.

So I'm suggesting that the Ministry of Health should come up with some
universal guidelines on the targets to be met before the MCO can be relaxed.
This could be a DI of below 50 and DMA of 3.

What do you think?